
Le vote des indépendants a été déterminant en 2008 et il explique la victoire de l'actuel Président dans un état qui votait républicain depuis 1964. Réflexion sur le site de Politico et vidéo du dernier discours de campagne en 2008, justement en Virginie. Obama peut-il répéter l'exploit en 2012?
"If there was any state that announced that something very big had happened in American politics with Barack Obama’s election in 2008, it was the state he will visit on Tuesday. Virginia had not voted for a Democratic president since 1964 when it went for Obama.
And if there was any state to warn Obama that the independent voters who gave him his historic victory were deeply disaffected, it was again Virginia.
Just a year later, in 2009, Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell, running against Obama’s record in the White House, won independents by a 2 to 1 majority in a victory that served as a prelude to the massive GOP gains of 2010.
Obama’s return visit to the state Tuesday as part of a three-day bus tour that started Monday in North Carolina shines a vivid light on the continuing importance of Virginia in his electoral calculus as well as an enduring mystery of his presidency: Why has this president had so much trouble crafting an effective strategy for keeping independents by his side?"
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/66220.html
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