Le blues d'Obama

Selon cet article de Politico, Obama perdrait lentement mais sûrement des appuis dans les "états bleus", des états généralement favorables aux démocrates. Le Vermont, la Californie et New York sont sur la liste. Je ne m'inquiéterais pas trop si j'étais un électeur démocrate... J'imagine mal ce que ces trois états obtiendraient de plus d'un gouvernement républicain appuyé fortement par le Tea party... Tout simplement un indicateur de plus pour encourager Obama à continuer sa charge.

"But pollsters point to the canary-in-the-coalmine factor: if Obama can’t hold these voters, they say, it’s a sign that his wider support among the reliably Democratic electorate of liberals, labor, young people, Jews, African-Americans and other key blocs is withering. They won’t be there in large numbers to put him over the top again in borderline states, and they won’t be there to feed his campaign money and provide volunteer support at the levels they did in 2008.

Tuesday’s election in New York’s heavily Democratic Queens- and Brooklyn-based 9th District proved to be an extreme manifestation of Obama’s blue state problem: His approval rating was at 43 percent in a Sept. 9 Siena Research Institute poll and 31 percent in a Sept. 11 automated poll by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm. By contrast, Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo posted a 75 percent approval rating in the district, according to the Siena poll.

“It is not per se a Democratic problem, it’s a problem with this president,” said Siena spokesman Steve Greenberg.

Siena’s been picking up on the trend for months, with its most recent New York statewide poll showing Democratic approval of the president down from 86 percent in April to 67 percent. Greenberg says that though the polling’s made clear that Obama’s never going to win back the Republicans who were with him on Election Day 2008—or at least supportive in the months after—the real erosion has been within his own party.

“Where he’s lost his support in New York is among the Democrats,” Greenberg said. “That’s more startling than the overall.”

Across the country in California, which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential nominee for more than 20 years, the numbers reflect the same trend: Obama’s approval rating, at 61 percent a year ago, is down t0 50 percent, according to a Sept. 7 University of Southern California/L.A. Times poll."

Le reste de l'article:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63568.html