Un exemple de "l'preuve des faits":
Manufacturing
Mr. Obama, in his acceptance speech, said, “We can help big factories and small businesses double their exports, and if we choose this path, we can create a million new manufacturing jobs in the next four years.”
Looking at current trends, it is certainly possible: the nation has added about 222,000 manufacturing jobs in the past year. Moreover, the Obama campaign has several proposals to encourage manufacturers to add workers.
But there is a bigger economic story behind the gains in manufacturing.
For three decades, manufacturers had cut jobs, and then when the recession hit, they slashed hundreds of thousands more. Now, some economists say, they might be adding workers to simply regain some lost capacity.
American workers’ wages have also been stagnant for more than a decade, and in many cases have declined during the recession. Over the same period, pay climbed in many other countries, making American workers’ wages more competitive. Strong blue-collar wage growth here or lower wages in foreign countries would send more jobs back overseas, economists say.
Mr. Obama also repeated his promise to double exports, to about $3.2 trillion a year in 2014 from about $1.6 trillion in 2009. He is roughly on track to meet that goal, with exports running at an annual pace of $2.2 trillion, judging by data from the first half of the year.
But Mr. Obama got help by starting the clock during the depths of the recession in 2009, when global trade dipped and American exports fell. And the strength of the dollar against other currencies — a factor almost entirely outside of American politicians’ control — will mainly determine export growth in the short term, economists argue.
La suite:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/07/us/politics/checking-facts-on-obama-and-biden-speeches.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20120907
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