lundi 10 septembre 2012

Sondage CNN: Obama en avance de six points!


Le fameux "bump" d'après convention... Un effet durable? À tout le moi un résultat plus intéressant pour les démocrates que pour les républicains qui n'ont eu que peu de retombées de leur performance dans les sondages.

 ""The Democratic convention was fairly well received, particularly in comparison to the GOP meeting the previous week in Tampa," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.

 The convention energized–at least temporarily– the Democratic base, as more Democrats (59%) than Republicans (57%) seemed to be enthusiastic about voting. This marks a turnaround from last week, when the number of Republicans who said they were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting was six points higher than for Democrats.

While the survey shows several changes coming out of the last two weeks, it's important to note that post-convention bounces have often proven to be temporary in past elections. A candidate may get a mild boost after a party gathering, but the question is whether the White House hopeful can sustain the momentum in the following weeks.

 "The advantage of going second is you get the last word," an Obama campaign official told CNN reporters covering the Charlotte convention last week.

 In fact convention bounces have become increasingly modest in the 21st century, so much so that Obama's four-point boost is considered high compared to other candidates in the last eight years. Romney's support increased only one point after this year's GOP convention, and Sen. John McCain gained no ground at all after the 2008 Republican event.

 http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/10/cnn-poll-obama-up-six-points-over-romney/?hpt=hp_t1

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