"In the end, Representative Todd Akin’s fate will depend not on what happens in Washington or Tampa, Fla., or on a talk radio show, but on the voters of Missouri.
A number of voters and strategists here believe it is not a foregone conclusion that Mr. Akin faces the certain defeat predicted by establishment Republican leaders calling on him to abandon his Senate bid after he made controversial comments about rape and abortion.
A pile of factors, they say, could make the situation survivable: local backlash against all the national party meddling, an intensely grass-roots fund-raising effort (Mr. Akin, a six-term congressman, has sent e-mails seeking $3 contributions from supporters in recent days), an influx of aid from some Christian groups, and a state that has in recent years grown more conservative than the national bellwether it was once seen as.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/23/us/politics/a-senate-victory-for-todd-akin-seen-as-possible-in-missouri.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20120823
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