samedi 4 août 2012

Pew Research Center: Obama mène par dix points


Ça me semble très optimiste, mais pas impossible. La donnée la plus importante est l'avance d'Obama dans les "swing states".

 "Currently, 51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean toward Romney. This is largely unchanged from earlier in July and consistent with polling over the course of this year. Across eight Pew Research Center surveys since January, Obama has led Romney by between four and 12 percentage points.

Obama holds only a four-point edge (48% to 44%) across 12 of this year’s key battleground states. While the data does not allow a state-by-state analysis, the overall balance of support in these closely contested states has remained level in recent months, with Obama slightly ahead, but neither candidate holding a significant advantage."

  http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/08/pew-obama-has-big-lead-romney-favorability-drops-130957.html

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