Caroline du sud: grosse journée en perspective!

 Dans une entrevue au Soleil publiée au début janvier, je disais au journaliste Ian Bussières que le principal objectif de Romney était de survire au premier mois des primaires, le calendrier ne le favorisant guère. L'Iowa, la Caroline du sud et, dans une moindre mesure, la Floride n'étaient pas des "terrains naturels" pour Romney. Les évènements des derniers jours le démontrent bien. Santorum est finalement déclaré vainqueur en Iowa et Gingrich devrait bien s'en tirer en Caroline du sud. À moins de craquer sous la pression Romney sera le candidat républicain.

 Je ne crois toujours pas que les républicains prendront le risque de choisir Gingrich, ils ne peuvent se le permettre. "Two weeks ago, Mitt Romney's campaign was looking at two wins under its belt, a big lead in South Carolina, a bigger lead in Florida and the possibility of a clear path to the Republican presidential nomination. As South Carolina votes today, it's essentially a two-man race with Romney's camp downplaying expectations here and Newt Gingrich's predicting victory. "It's tight, it's real tight," said one Romney adviser who did not want to be quoted discussing internal poll numbers. A top Gingrich strategist in South Carolina was predicting victory. Richard Quinn, a longtime South Carolina GOP strategist who worked for Jon Huntsman but signed on to advise Gingrich this week, told CNN Friday that the former House speaker will walk away with "between a 4- and 6-point plurality win" in the contest. South Carolina is the third contest on the primary calendar and the first in the South. The winner of the primary has gone on to win the Republican nomination in every election since 1980."

  http://www.cnn.com/2012/01/21/politics/south-carolina-primary/index.html?hpt=hp_t1