mercredi 11 janvier 2012

Caroline du sud: Romney en avance de 10 points


Si les résultats de ce sondage sont fiables, il s'agit d'une très bonne nouvelle pour l'équipe de Romney. "Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney beat his opponents and even a few expectations on Tuesday night. The frame in the media over the last 48 hours was that Romney was suffering from his “I like being able to fire people” gaffe and that he was closing worse than Newt Gingrich did in Iowa. And then he took nearly forty percent of the vote, like the polls had shown he would all along.

The campaign now moves to South Carolina, where the polling has been an exacerbated version of the national picture all year. In this way the state is a bit like Iowa, which former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum nearly won over Romney with a late run to the top — South Carolina’s more conservative voters have been moving from candidate to candidate, testing them out before they reject and move on to the next one. Unfortunately for Santorum, Romney essentially cut him off on the way back to the top, winning Iowa and then dominating New Hampshire, regaining his stride as ‘Mr. Inevitable.’

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was the leader in the state by huge margins last month, but just as he’s fallen nationally and in other first primary states, he’s dropped back in South Carolina. Santorum was poised to be the next alternative to Romney, but the former governor has taken the lead as it seems his campaign may soon prevail in the GOP’s nominating process. Five new polls from the first week in January show Romney with a lead between five and nineteen percent, and his New Hampshire victory only serves to solidify it.

The TPM Poll Average of the GOP race in South Carolina shows Romney with a nearly ten point lead.

 http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/01/romney-heads-to-south-carolina-with-a-10-point-lead-in-the-state.php?ref=fpnewsfeed

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