mercredi 16 novembre 2016

Donald Trump bientôt confronté au nucléaire?


L'auteur de ce texte est un officier à la retraite. Pendant la campagne il s'est inquiété du fait qu'un Président Trump aurait la possibilité de recourir à l'arme nucléaire. Il précise un peu sa pensée aujourd'hui. Il effectue un petit survol des possibilités de conflits.

 "These tensions are present even now and show no signs of easing. For starters, U.S.-led NATO and Russian military forces are shadow boxing with increasing intensity. The mutual intimidation is steadily escalating, and Trump’s soft commitment to NATO’s defense has not helped. Rather than assuaging the Russians, it has only stoked insecurity in Europe and perhaps tempted Russia to intervene in the Baltic states. In other words, appeasement only makes matters more unstable.

In East Asia, meanwhile, a mercurial and belligerent leader of North Korea will soon be able to brandish nuclear-armed missiles to credibly threaten South Korea, Japan and the U.S. homeland with nuclear devastation. The timeline for this threat to materialize is very short—months or a low number of years. (Trump himself mentioned the threat in his “60 Minutes” interview on Sunday.) Kim Jong Un’s provocations combined with Trump’s soft-pedaling of U.S. defense commitment in Asia have put the entire region on edge and provoked South Korea to consider acquiring a nuclear arsenal in self defense."

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/11/trump-north-korea-nuclear-crises-214457

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