"Two White House officials said they believe they have the upper hand in the State of the Union standoff because Pelosi hasn't been able to definitively show that the shutdown has prevented the government from securing the event. As the White House officials see it, Pelosi will either buckle and allow Trump to speak or be forced to publicly un-invite him. Trump wins in either scenario, the officials argued, insisting that barring him from giving the speech would be seen as obviously political and petty.
White House aides have encouraged the president to continue fighting to hold the speech in the House chamber because backing off would make it look like he gave in. But they're also already making contingencies for a speech outside of Washington, according to one of the White House officials, if he’s not able to give the speech in Congress. And outside advisers think an alternative speech outside of the beltway would resonate with his base."
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/23/trump-said-he-still-plans-to-deliver-state-of-the-union-address-on-jan-29-1121068
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