mercredi 7 décembre 2011

Gingrich: the real deal?


Sous-estimé au début de la campagne, Newt Gingrich semble être plus que la "saveur du mois". Même si je considère que son passé et son "placard" peuvent lui nuire et limiter ses chances dans une course contre Obama, il est actuellement en mesure de brouiller sérieusement les cartes. Mitt Romney est un meilleur candidat pour une course à la Présidence, mais la division actuelle des républicains (influencés par la faction plus "à droite") pourrait bien nous révéler des surprises. De plus, Gingrich a l'expérience de la politique à Washington et il est autrement plus crédible que Perry, Cain ou Bachmann.

"President Obama’s advisers, long convinced that Romney would be their opponent, now think Obama has a realistic chance of facing Gingrich, and are frantically rewriting a playbook that has been three years in the making. The campaign hadn’t even put together a comprehensive opposition research folder on Gingrich, in part because they expected Romney as the nominee but also because of the assumption that his record was so well-known.

The advisers, especially David Axelrod — who has led the campaign’s frontal assault on Romney — are finally coming around to the possibility that Gingrich might actually be the GOP nominee.

“Republicans want someone who can snarl at the president,” said a Democrat close to the White House. “Newt’s snarl is more genuine than Mitt’s.”

Some Obama aides are exultant about running against a candidate with so much baggage and bad history. They generally view Romney as a stronger, more dangerous opponent, even if the former House speaker is likely to shine in debates. The feeling — or hope — among the campaign’s upper echelon is that the Romney-Gingrich fight just might last until June, as long as Obama-Clinton in 2008, with deeply unpredictable results.

But there’s also a wary recognition that Gingrich may be catching a wave that is both powerful and unpredictable.

They worry that Gingrich would be an erratic opponent, and therefore harder to handle than the relatively predictable Romney. Running against him may prove more difficult than it looks at first blush."

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1211/69953.html

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