Intéressant et assez proche de la réalité. Tout repose sur le fait qu'il ne peut faire pire que Kerry en 2004.Intéressant...
"At a briefing with reporters on Tuesday morning, top officials in the Obama campaign outlined five distinct paths that they can pursue to help the president win reelection.
Speaking at the headquarters of the Democratic National Committee, chief strategist David Axelrod and campaign manager Jim Messina pledged to take the same numbers-based approach to the 2012 campaign that former campaign manager David Plouffe famously used in 2008. And in surveying the electoral map, they have gamed out several regional strategies to help them clear the threshold of 270 Electoral College votes.
Assuming the president is able to hold on to the states that Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) won in 2004 -- a not entirely risk-free assumption -- the campaign could try to follow what Axelrod and Messina are calling the "West Path." If Obama wins Colorado (and its nine electoral votes), New Mexico (five) and Nevada (six) and adds them to Kerry's 246 electoral votes, he would have 266. Add in the six electoral votes from Iowa, where Obama has been leading the polls (but Republicans have been making voter registration gains), and he'd have 272."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/13/2012-obama-reelection_n_1146000.html
Aucun commentaire:
Enregistrer un commentaire