jeudi 9 avril 2015

Hillary Clinton: quelle stratégie pour l'emporter?


Être une femme, blanche et âgée seraient des atouts pour Mme Clinton selon l'auteur de cet article. Une analyse pertinente qui fait également ressortir que la carte électorale avantage actuellement les démocrates. Si Hillary Clinton mène simplement une bonne campagne, elle a de bonnes chances de l'emporter.

 "But there are also positive reasons for why Clinton may rally voters to the polls. Women of all ages and races who are electrified by the prospect of a female president would be an army for Clinton, much as black and youth voters were for Obama. And she’s not going to squander that opportunity this time around. From the moment her abbreviated biography hit Twitter (wife, mom, women’s advocate, hair icon, political pioneer) to 2015 schedule heavy with events focused on women, Clinton is already embracing her slice of history in a way that she never did in the 2008 race. Renee James, the president of Intel Corp., even introduced her at a recent women’s technology conference as “a modern-day suffragette.”

What does all of this mean for the 2016 electoral map? There would be some fundamentals working in Clinton’s favor if, as expected, she seeks and wins the Democratic nomination. One is that 18 states and the District of Columbia have gone for Democrats in every presidential election since 1992, for a total of 242 electoral votes—only 28 shy of the required 270. By contrast, only 13 states have voted Republican in every presidential election since 1992, and they amount to only 102 electoral votes. So Democrats have many more paths to 270."

  http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/04/hillarys-path-to-victory-116432.html?hp=t4_r#.VSaeXvmG81I

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